Playoff Board — Week 5

Playoff Board — Week 5

# Team Record FPI Field
1 Georgia Bulldogs 4–0 28.3 84%
2 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 4–0 27.8 84%
3 Ohio State Buckeyes 3–1 27.8 69%
4 Texas Longhorns 4–0 26.9 90%
5 Miami Hurricanes 4–0 25.7 85%
6 Alabama Crimson Tide 4–0 24.6 73%
7 Indiana Hoosiers 4–0 24.4 68%
8 LSU Tigers 3–1 22.1 40%
9 Oregon Ducks 3–1 21.7 41%
10 Florida Gators 4–0 19.3 49%
11 Tennessee Volunteers 3–1 18.2 23%
12 Utah Utes 4–0 18.2 49%

What decides their season

Georgia Bulldogs — The season turns on at Alabama Crimson Tide at 59% and at Ole Miss Rebels at 63%. Lose those, win the rest, and they finish 10–2.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish — The season turns on Miami Hurricanes at 69% and at BYU Cougars at 77%. Lose those, win the rest, and they finish 10–2.

Ohio State Buckeyes — The season turns on at Indiana Hoosiers at 46% and Oregon Ducks at 67%. Lose those, win the rest, and they finish 9–3.

Texas Longhorns — The season turns on at LSU Tigers at 57% and at Texas A&M Aggies at 57%. Lose those, win the rest, and they finish 10–2.

Miami Hurricanes — The season turns on at Notre Dame Fighting Irish at 32% and Pittsburgh Panthers at 86%. Lose those, win the rest, and they finish 10–2.

Alabama Crimson Tide — The season turns on at Tennessee Volunteers at 54% and Texas A&M Aggies at 57%. Lose those, win the rest, and they finish 7–5.


Built automatically from ESPN’s FPI and weekly scoreboard on 1 October 2026. Win probabilities use the published betting line where a game has one and the FPI gap where it does not. This is a model, not a prediction of the selection committee.